UFC Picks for Today – Predictions, Tips & Odds for the Latest UFC Fight Cards

With new fights happening every week, it’s pretty tough to keep up with the favorites, underdogs – and, most importantly, the value bets.

But with our expert UFC picks, you can always stay ahead of the curve. So, what’s up for this week?

If you haven’t yet, clear your schedule and get in on the action at sports betting sites like Betwhale. But first – read our UFC predictions and get those value bets in.

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Summary of Our Top UFC Predictions for UFC on ABC 6

A quick breakdown of our top UFC fight predictions today, which are explained in more detail in the article, for this upcoming UFC on ABC 6 card.

Bet	Odds	Sportsbook
Robert Whittaker by TKO/KO/DQ in Round 3, 4 or 5	+600	Betwhale
Alexander Volkov and Under 1.5 rounds	+450	Betwhale
Volkan Oezdemir in Rounds 1 or 2	+215	Betwhale
Robert Whittaker wins in Rounds 4,5 or by Decision	+175	Betwhale
Alexander Volkov Moneyline	+220	Betwhale
Daniel Rodriguez wins by decision	+315	Betwhale
Magomedov wins by KO, TKO or DQ	-350	Betwhale
Volkan Oezdemir Moneyline	-110	Bovada
Robert Whittaker by TKO/KO/DQ in Round 3, 4 or 5	+600	BetOnline

How We Picked The Best UFC Bets

• Robert Whittaker by TKO/KO/DQ in Rounds 3, 4 or 5 – With a 56% finishing rate, and the last seven victories coming by decision, Robert Whittaker’s style isn’t accustomed to halting the action. A striker, who is active and defensively sound, Whittaker attacks and retreats in a blink of an eye. Facing Ikram Aliskerov, who has been stopped in his lone loss and has never fought in a twenty-five-minute fight, the possibility of Whittaker winning by stoppage is higher than normal. With nine of Whittaker’s fifteen stoppage victories coming by knockout, if the former champion were to win inside the distance, we believe it’s more likely to come by strikes.

• Alexander Volkov and Under 1.5 Rounds – If you are backing Alexander Volkov and are looking to squeeze out some more value, we recommend picking this unique bet. Winning twenty-eight fights inside the distance, Volkov is sporting a 75.6% finishing rate. Always hunting for the finish, Volkov has won by stoppage in his last three fights. Facing Sergei Pavlovich, who has been stopped in his two losses, both in round one, there is a high probability that if Volkov wins, it’s coming by finish and under 1.5 rounds.

• Volkan Oezdemir in Rounds 1 or 2 – If you have Volkan Oezdemir winning this fight, and by stoppage, you should look into this prop bet. The reason we like this bet is that opponent Johnny Walker has been stopped in six of his eight losses. Among those six stoppage defeats, three have come in round one and the other three in round two. With the bet covering the first two rounds, at +215 odds, we see value in this play.

Best UFC Picks Today

Here are some of our UFC predictions today and the latest picks for UFC betting:

Robert Whittaker vs. Ikram Aliskerov

• Pick: Whittaker (-155)
• Best Bet: Whittaker wins in Round 4,5 or by Decision (+175)

The main event comes in the middleweight division, as former middleweight champion Robert Whittaker takes on rising talent Ikram Aliskerov.

Bouncing back from a loss to current champion Driscus du Plessis, with a victory over Paulo Costa, Robert Whittaker is firmly back in the title picture. Ranked third and with only three losses in his last seventeen fights, the former champion, with another win, could find himself in a number one contenders fight next.

A polished striker, with excellent takedown defense, Whittaker is one of the toughest fighters to game plan against. Boasting solid cardio, movement, and elusiveness, Whittaker flusters and frustrates opponents throughout the fight. Extremely durable, Whittaker can never be counted out.

Meanwhile, unbeaten in the last seven fights, with two wins coming in the UFC, Ikram Aliskerov is generating buzz at 185 pounds. Originally supposed to fight on last week’s card, Aliskerov was removed to replace coincidentally the only man to defeat him, Khamazat Chimaez, as the co-headliner opposite Robert Whittaker. Given a massive opportunity, Aliskerov has a chance to catapult himself into the top five and title picture with a victory.

Well-versed in kickboxing and with knockout power, Aliskerov is a dangerous man to stand across from. Far from a one-trick pony, Aliskerov boasts solid grappling and is a legitimate submission threat. With eleven stoppage victories, eight coming in the last nine wins, Aliskerov isn’t one for the scorecards.

In what should be an entertaining main event, we are backing Whittaker.

A -1200 favorite against Antonio Trocoli, a week later, Aliskerov finds himself a slight underdog against one of the top middleweights on the planet in Whittaker.

Talented and dangerous, Aliskerov can certainly win this fight. Yet, we feel that not only is Whittaker a tall task, but so are the conditions surrounding this fight.

Cutting weight prior to getting pulled from last week’s fight card, Aliskerov will likely be maintaining his weight for a week before cutting down to 185 pounds. While difficult on its own, Aliskerov also has to travel from Las Vegas to Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, a flight time of over 18 hours.

Given the fight is slated for five rounds, against a former world champion, the multiple weight cuts with the extensive travel in such a short span is something worth monitoring.

Having said that, Whittaker is a tough fighter to match up against regardless of other factors. Defensively sound, Whittaker boasts an 82% takedown defense and is avoiding 59% of the opponent’s significant strikes thrown. Active, Whittaker is constantly on the attack, landing a solid 4.57 significant strikes per minute.

While Aliskerov on paper is statistically superior, landing 8.24 significant strikes per minute, at a 65% accuracy, and landing 2.23 takedowns per fifteen minutes, those stats stem from two fights against lesser competition.

Among those stats, however, there is something to be alarmed of. Aliskerov is absorbing 7.15 strikes per minute and is being landed on 64% of the opponent’s significant strikes thrown.

Problematic, as the lack of defense paves the way for Whittaker’s activity to swarm Aliskerov. In addition, Aliskerov has zero five-round experience. Whittaker has fought for twenty-five minutes five times. The longer the fight goes, Whittaker’s experience will be a major factor in turning aside the rising talent Aliskerov.

Sergei Pavlovich vs. Alexander Volkov

• Pick: Volkov (+220)
• Best Bet: Volkov Moneyline (+220)

The co-main event comes in the heavyweight division, as the third-ranked Sergei Pavlovich takes on fifth-ranked Alexander Volkov.

Coming off a loss to Tom Aspinall for the interim heavyweight title, which snapped a six-fight win streak, Sergei Pavlovich returned to the octagon looking to get back in the title picture. Facing Pavlovich is Alexander Volkov, who has won three consecutive fights, all by finish.

In what should be an exciting fight, we are siding with Volkov.

A pure striker, Pavlovich carries immense stopping power. Having won the last six victories by knockout, and with fifteen overall, Pavlovich has proven that he is a problem to stand across from. The only unknown with Pavlovich is his wrestling, having only faced four takedown attempts in eight UFC fights.

However, considering Volkov is averaging 0.49 takedowns per fifteen minutes and hasn’t recorded a takedown in the last eight fights, this fight is likely to take place solely on the feet.

Standing at 6 ‘7 and with an 80-inch reach, Volkov is one of the toughest strikers to face. Staying on the outside and pumping an excellent jab, it can be a daunting task to get within range to hit Volkov. Though not known for power, Volkov’s activity and precision have wilted many foes.

While at heavyweight, a fight can end in one punch and Pavlovich represents the very nature of that, Volkov is extremely tough to put away. In forty-seven fights, Volkov has only been stopped by strikes twice.

Given Pavlovich has won all six UFC fights in round one and has never seen a round two in eight UFC fights, the heavy-handed slugger’s window of victory and defeat is so narrow. Which to us, is too risky to pick in this particular matchup.

Volkov is durable enough to withstand the initial storm and has the cardio to take over the fight should it go long. Either way though, don’t blink in this fight, as three rounds won’t be necessary.

Kelvin Gastelum vs. Daniel Rodriguez

• Pick: Rodriguez (+200)
• Best Bet: Rodriguez wins by decision (+315)

We have an exciting fight in the welterweight division, as Kelvin Gastelum squares off against Daniel Rodriguez.

Falling short in the return to the welterweight division against Sean Brady, Kelvin Gastelum will look to bounce back and notch his first win at 170 pounds in over nine years. Facing Gastelum is Daniel Rodriguez, who is in the midst of his worst stretch as a mixed martial artist, dropping back-to-back fights for the first time in his career.

In what should be a fun fight, we have Rodriguez winning.

Long viewed as a welterweight, Gastelum has fought the majority of his career in the middleweight division. Undersized, but tough as nails, Gastelum reached as high as a title challenger as a middleweight.

While Gastelum was set to make his second straight octagon appearance as a welterweight, it appears that the weight cut, which has been the main issue in his reluctance to stay at 170 pounds is rearing its teeth yet again. Claiming to be having a rough training camp and subsequent weight cut, it’s very likely this fight will become a catchweight fight.

In essence, that favors Gastelum.

However, we still like Rodriguez in this fight. A high-output striker, who applies heavy pressure, Rodriguez looks to systematically break opponents. Durable, despite being stopped twice in the last two fights, Rodriguez is difficult to put away. The one problem that has plagued Rodriguez is his defensive wrestling, which cost him against Neil Magny.

Having said that, Gastelum, despite his wrestling background, is averaging only 0.96 takedowns per fifteen minutes. Reluctant to wrestle and at times, hesitant to strike, which version of Gastelum can be difficult to pinpoint. Yet, even with his shortcomings, boasting athleticism, elusiveness, durability, and cardio, Gastelum can never be counted out of a fight.

The reason we like Rodriguez though, is that if Gastelum once again neglects his wrestling background, there is a stark difference in output and accuracy between the two. Landing 7.3 significant strikes per minute, in comparison to Gastelum’s 3.55, Rodriguez more than doubles the former title challenger. With a 9% striking accuracy edge added on top of that, in a fight expected to see the scorecards, we believe that Rodriguez has a clear path to scoring the upset by simply being the more active striker.

Sharabutdin Magomedov vs. Antonio Trocoli

• Pick: Magomedov (-550)
• Best Bet: Magomedov wins by KO,TKO or DQ (-350)

We have a fun matchup in the middleweight division, as Sharabutdin Magomedov takes on Antonio Trocoli.

Remaining undefeated with a decision victory over Bruno Silva in his octagon debut, Sharabutdin Magomedov will look to keep the momentum going heading into his second UFC fight. Facing Magomedov is Antonio Trocoli, who on the heels of a three-fight win streak, steps in on three days’ notice to make his UFC debut.

In a fight that appears one-sided, we are siding with Magomedov.

Originally signed by the UFC in 2019, Trocoli was released from the promotion before stepping inside the octagon due to a failed drug test. Fighting back on the regional scene, Trocoli picked up a victory and signed back with the UFC in 2022.

However, Trocoli has still yet to fight inside the octagon, withdrawing from two fights and seeing a third canceled last week after opponent Ikram Aliskerov was removed to co-headline this fight card.

A towering figure at middleweight, Trocoli is 6’5 and has an 80-inch reach. Equipped with good wrestling, Trocoli is a sore sight to see in top control, as he boasts devastating ground-and-pound. Known to be a fast starter, Trocoli is dangerous in the opening rounds.

Having said that, there are too many factors working against Trocoli in this fight.

Not only is Magomedov a tough draw to debut against, but Trocoli has only fought once in nearly five years and has not fought at middleweight since 2017. Jumping in on three days’ notice and attempting to cut down to a weight that you haven’t fought at in roughly seven years is a red flag.

Regardless of that though, Magomedov is the better overall fighter.

Despite giving up three inches of height and seven inches of reach, Magomedov has the advantage on the feet. A dynamic striker, with a diverse arsenal, Magomedov throws every strike imaginable. Utilizing angles and always unpredictable, Magomedov is as tricky as it gets on the feet. With good cardio and a volume-heavy approach, Magomedov might just be one of the best strikers to grace the octagon.

The one knock on Magomedov is his defensive wrestling, which saw a non-wrestler in Bruno Silva take advantage of, landing three takedowns and 6:44 of control time.

However, and though Trocoli could very well take advantage of that, the short-notice nature of the fight can’t be understated. Before getting the call, Trocoli already cut weight a week ago. Add on the over eighteen-hour flight he has to endure, and this is a recipe for a bad night in the office.

With that said, we believe Magomedov will shine, eventually stopping Tocoli inside the distance.

Johnny Walker vs. Volkan Oezdemir

• Pick: Oezdemir (-110)
• Best Bet: Oezdemir Moneyline (-110)

We have a showdown in the light heavyweight division, as the seventh-ranked Johnny Walker takes on the ninth-ranked Volkan Oezdemir.

Returning to the octagon after falling short against Magomedov Ankalaev, Johnny Walker will look to notch his first victory in 2024. Facing Walking is Volkan Oezdemir, who is looking to build off his stoppage victory over Bogdan Guskov back in September of 2023.

In what is an intriguing fight, we are picking Oezdemir to prevail.

Once a wild striker, Walker has become more technical and is beginning to utilize his grappling chops. Accurate on the feet, Walker uses his length to pick apart opponents. With some legitimate power, Walker has won sixteen of his twenty-one victories via knockout.

Boasting a four-inch height and seven-inch reach advantage in this fight, Walker should realistically be able to keep Oezdemir at bay.

However, Oezdemir is used to fighting taller opponents. Powerful and active, Oezdemir is a solid boxer. Though not known for his wrestling or grappling, it’s an underrated aspect of his game. Landing a takedown in three consecutive fights, it appears Oezdemir is embracing change.

Significant, as Walker is susceptible to being taken down. Sporting a 57% takedown defense, Walker has had issues keeping the fight upright. In the last seven takedowns attempted against the Brazilian, he has only stuffed two.

While it’s hard to gauge whether Oezdemir will attack that weakness of Walker, other flaws within the Brazilian’s game lead us toward picking Oezdemir.

One is striking defense. Hit on 56% of the opponent’s significant strikes, Walker isn’t exactly defensively responsible. Problematically, Walker has lost five of eight fights by knockout.

Another flaw is that Walker has too low of output. Averaging 3.81 significant strikes per minute, Walker has only eclipsed fifty strikes once in thirteen UFC fights. Meaning, that if this fight were to go long, Oezdemir, who has eclipsed 50 strikes five times in thirteen UFC fights is better suited to drum up the activity.

In a fight that is a pick’em, we feel Oezdemir is the more consistent and less flawed fighter.

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Other UFC Picks for Tonight (Over/Under + Method of Victory)

Looking for ways to gain an edge before you bet on the fights? Then look no further.

Over/Under Bets on UFC

Among mixed martial arts fans, it’s common knowledge that the unpredictable is typical.

However, some trends and styles lean towards a certain bet. In this instance, we are discussing over/under. When trying to decide on an over/under, several aspects go into finding the right side to be on. Observing this card, there are plenty of examples that we have shared for our latest UFC predictions.

Sharabutdin Magomedov vs. Antonio Trocoli

Sharabutdin Magomedov has a record of 12-0. Of those 12 wins, 10 have come inside the distance (10 knockouts).

Antonio Trocoli has a record of 12-3. Of those 12 wins, 8 have come inside the distance (3 knockouts, 5 submissions). In fifteen fights, Trocoli has been stopped once.

The over/under is set at 1 ½ (-140 Under)

Magomedov has gone under 1 ½ rounds in nine of his twelve fights. Trocoli has hit the under 1 ½ mark in only three fights, one being his most recent.

While Trocoli has largely fought deep into fights, and by no means statistically aids this under, this matchup, as evident by the +410 underdog odds, is a tough one for the debutant. Magomedov is a pure finisher, winning 83.3% of his fights inside the distance. With a vast advantage on the feet, if Trocoli can’t get the fight to the mat, we believe Magomedov is bound to halt the action quickly.

Add in that Trocoli is cutting down to middleweight for the first time since 2017 and the weight cut may leave him compromised inside the octagon.

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Sergei Pavlovich vs. Alexander Volkov

Sergei Pavlovich has a record of 18-2. Of those 18 wins, 15 have come inside the distance (15 knockouts). In twenty fights, Pavlovich has been stopped twice.

Alexander Volkov has a record of 37-10. Of those 37 wins, 28 have come inside the distance (24 knockouts, 4 submissions). In forty-seven fights, Volkov has been stopped five times.

The over/under is set at 1 ½ (-155 Under)

Pavlovich has gone under 1 ½ rounds in nine consecutive fights. Volkov has hit the under 1 ½ mark in three of the last four fights.

Although the odds are relatively tight, we feel there is immense value in the under.

Pavlovich is a pure finisher, with his last seven victories coming by first-round knockout. While his style has led to several highlight stoppages, it’s also paved the way to his last two losses coming in round one.

Meanwhile, Volkov too is a finisher, winning 75.6% of his victories inside the distance. Big for the division and with excellent length, Volkov is tough to get inside and land flush on. With good cardio, durability, and a keen ability to stalk down opponents, Volkov has broken many fighters.

Given this is a heavyweight fight between two fighters who have won by stoppage inside of 1 ½ rounds in at least their last three victories, we feel comfortable in saying that this fight isn’t going to last very long.

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Method of Victory

When trying to figure out the outcome of the fight, it’s important to look through a fighter’s record. There you can gauge whether a fighter is proficient in knockouts, submissions, or both. Lastly, look at what a fighter has done of late to find a trend.

Looking at this card, there are several fighters who are more likely to win by a certain outcome. Check out our method of victory UFC predictions:

Kelvin Gastelum

Kelvin Gastelum has a record of 17-9 with one no-contest. Of those 17 wins, 7 have come by decision.

In Gastelum’s last nine fights, seven went to the scorecards. Of those nine fights, Gastelum won three times – all by decision.

Known to be a low-output striker, who might mix in a takedown, Gastelum’s style is more accustomed to winning on the scorecards. Facing Daniel Rodriguez, who just suffered the first two stoppage losses of his career, there might be a thought that Rodriguez now has durability issues.

However, we are reluctant to believe that Rodriguez is damaged goods. Especially against Gastelum, who sports a mere 58.3% finishing rate.

With that said, if Gastelum were to win, it’s likely to come on the scorecards.

The odds for Gastelum to win by decision is (+105).

Volkan Oezdemir

Volkan Oezdemir has a record of 19-7. Of those 19 wins, 12 have come by knockout.

An active striker, with legitimate knockout power, Oezdemir is always a threat to halt the action. Winning four of the last six victories by stoppage, three of which came by knockout, Oezdemir’s likely path to victory has come by his hands.

Facing Johnny Walker, who has been stopped by strikes in his last two losses, as well as in five of his eight losses, we believe that Oezdemir has an excellent chance of cracking the Brazilian’s iffy chin.

The odds for Oezdemir to win by knockout is (+200).

Benefits of UFC Bets

1. Plenty of time to study fights

   Unlike some of the major sports, which are daily, the UFC holds events weekly or bi-weekly. This gives ample time to break down fights and make educated bets.

2. Fight Cards are filled with opportunities

   There are at least ten or more fights on a usual fight card. While not every fight is going to tickle your fancy, there are plenty of other fights to get action on.

3. Excellent props

   The options are endless when it comes to UFC props. Whether you’re looking to bet on the exact outcome of a fight or what round the fight ends in, UFC betting sites have given way to the consumer finding precisely what they want action on.

4. Easy for beginners

   With readily available information and videos of fights accessible to watch, betting on the UFC for beginners is as easy as betting on boxing or the NFL. Sportsbooks are even starting to provide information on trends, which helps a lot, especially for beginners.

Where to Bet On UFC on ABC 6: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov

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UFC Predictions – FAQs

How Can I Watch UFC on ABC 6: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov?

UFC on ABC 6: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov will be available to watch in its entirety on ESPN+ – which is ESPN’s streaming service. The main card will also be available on ABC.

The preliminary card starts at 12:00 PM Eastern, while the main card starts at 3:00 PM Eastern.

Who’s Fighting on UFC on ABC 6: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov?

The main event of UFC on ABC 6 features an important fight in the middleweight division, as the third-ranked Robert Whittaker takes on rising talent Ikram Aliskerov.

Where Can I Find the Best Odds for UFC on ABC 6: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov?

Betwhale has the best odds for your UFC picks. According to Betwhale, Ikram Aliskerov is a +125 underdog. If you placed $100 on Aliskerov, your total payout will be $225.

Robert Whittaker comes in as a -155 favorite, which means you have to place $155 on Whittaker to win $100.

Expert Tips & Tricks for Picking the Right UFC Bets

1. Sign Up for Multiple Sportsbooks

   There are several reasons why signing up for multiple sportsbooks makes sense. For one, you can compare odds. This is called line shopping.

   The benefit of line shopping is to cash in on the odds with the higher payout.

   Another reason why signing up for multiple betting sites is a good idea is you get to enjoy several sports bonuses at the same time. Whether it’s deposit bonuses or free bets, sportsbooks have enticing offers that give the consumer little reason not to get in on the action.

   Plus, you’ll find additional bonuses and markets for other betting categories like horse racing and football – which is great if you tend to place bets on other sports as well.

2. Don’t Be Afraid to Hedge

   In every sport, upsets occur. In mixed martial arts, the unpredictable often shines brightest.

   If you place a parlay that is one fight away from cashing in, even if the odds are tremendously in your favor, don’t be afraid to hedge.

   In a sport where a fight can end on a dime, whether a stoppage occurs or an injury halts the bout, it’s better to be safer. After all, profit is profit until it isn’t.

3. Keep an Eye on Live Betting Odds

   When the fight is underway, and you have action on a particular fighter, it’s smart to watch the live betting odds. Especially if the fighter you picked dominates and looks to be closing in on cashing your bet.

   The reason to look is that in that scenario, the opposition’s odds will be astronomically inflated. To miss an opportunity to sprinkle some on the opponent and assure profit could be costly.

   For example, when round five started between Kamaru Usman and Leon Edwards in their second fight, Usman was a -5000 favorite, according to BetOnline. Edwards was a +1200 underdog to win and +4000 to win via knockout in round five. Given that the odds continue to change during the fight, Edwards could be an even bigger underdog.

   Anyways, Edwards went on to stun Usman with a head-kick knockout with less than a minute left in the fight – leaving backers of Usman stunned and with losing bets.

If you regularly find yourself betting on other sports as well, check out our March Madness betting guide.

Did You Like Our Latest UFC Picks & Predictions?

That’s it for today’s UFC fight predictions.

Whether your money is on Whittaker or Aliskerov, make sure you are taking the best price possible – which will usually be available either at Betwhale or Bovada.

Thanks for reading and remember to bet responsibly!

 

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